An Honest Look at What Our Own Forecasts Got Wrong
We audited a year of our published expectations against what actually happened. Here is what the misses had in common.
Business and markets news, updated through the day
We audited a year of our published expectations against what actually happened. Here is what the misses had in common.
Currency, energy mix and export exposure change how the same global trend lands on local balance sheets.
Order backlog, deferred revenue, headcount and capital expenditure tell you more about the next reporting period than the last one did.
Renewal rates are still rising fastest for businesses in high-exposure locations, and the gap between quoted and settled premiums has widened.
Order intake slowed across the segment, and two manufacturers trimmed production schedules accordingly.
Several producers are changing recipes ahead of a regulatory deadline, with reformulation timelines running into next year.
Volumes rose while pricing on spot lanes softened, a combination operators attribute to added capacity rather than weaker demand.
Inventory and production reports across energy and metals are due within days, and positioning reflects it.
Options pricing points to wider swings, driven by a cluster of policy announcements in the coming week.
The smaller index gained more ground than the large-cap benchmark, a pattern consistent with easing financial conditions.